No. 279, May 20 - 26, 2004

SECCIÓN EN ESPAÑOL

WORLD NEWS





To read an article, click on the headline.


Bush administration seeks to
expand US military in Colombia

Thousands protest paramilitary
presence in Venezuela

‘We are everywhere’ says
shadowy pro-democracy group

Manmohan Singh to be India’s first Sikh premier

US ‘strategically losing’ in Iraq

Palestinian homes demolished;
Israelis rally for peace

Sanctions unlikely to hurt Syria





Bush administration seeks to expand US military in Colombia

By Elanor Starmer

May 12— Last month the George W. Bush administration announced plans to deepen US involvement in Colombia by doubling the number of US troops and private military contractors stationed there. The move came in the midst of an energetic public-relations campaign by the US State Department and the Colombian government. Both administrations attempted to paint US policy in Colombia as an assured success. However, statistics show a stable presence of cocaine on the US market, and there’s evidence of continued ties between members of the Colombian military and brutal right-wing paramilitary groups.

Four years ago the US Congress voted overwhelmingly to pass a $1.3 billion aid package known as Plan Colombia. The support of moderate Democrats and Republicans hinged on a number of safeguards included in the legislation, which they hoped would keep the United States out of the “quagmire” of Colombia’s internal conflict. Congress has restricted the number of US troops and private military contractors, or mercenaries, allowed on the ground to 800 total and limited their mission to anti-drug efforts, legislating that no intelligence, training, or equipment be used to assist Colombia in its war against left-wing insurgents. Congressional supporters also promised that the US commitment in Colombia would last no more than five years.

Human rights groups, drug reformers, and some members of Congress warned repeatedly that military aid would pour fuel on the flames of the long and brutal conflict involving the Colombian government forces, right-wing paramilitary allies, and left-wing insurgents. Many critics, including current House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, also argued that attacking drug production at the lowest level of the supply chain — the poor farmers who grow drug crops in Colombia’s rural areas —was an inhumane approach that would ultimately prove futile.

Despite these grave concerns, Plan Colombia was signed into law. The Republican congressional leadership touted it as a reasonable policy that was limited in scope but which would help bring an end to America’s drug problem. Following September 11th, however, the policy began to transform. The Bush administration and congressional allies broke promise after promise made in 2000, and skepticism of the policy grew in Congress.

In the spring of 2002 the Bush administration expanded the US mission in Colombia beyond anti-drug efforts arguing that US aid should be used to help Colombia fight a “unified campaign against narcotics trafficking, terrorist activities, and other threats to its national security.” It earmarked some $600 million for the cause. This year Colombia is slated to receive over $500 million in US aid — the majority of it military and police assistance.

The Bush administration now argues that more force is needed to make progress in the joint campaign against drugs and terrorism in Colombia. In a recent visit to Washington, Colombian President Alvaro Uribe proposed —“Plan Colombia II” — a second phase of US assistance that could last another 5 years. Bush administration officials applauded the idea.

The proposal to lift the troop cap, announced by President Bush last month, would increase the number of US personnel allowed in Colombia to 800 soldiers and 600 mercenaries — nearly double the current limit established by Congress.

Lifting the cap would mean devoting additional resources and manpower to a failed policy.

Approving additional US military assistance would send all the wrong messages to a war-torn Colombia. It implies that the conflict can be solved by force, effectively squelching civil society and sporadic government attempts to engage in a negotiated peace process with armed groups. As the war accelerates, thousands more Colombian civilians will lose their lives in the crossfire. Committed to a military solution, the US government could be forced to request ever-increasing levels of troops and funding when the conflict proves more enduring than anticipated.

Support and training for the Colombian armed forces also puts the United States firmly on the side of a military with a brutal history and a proven reluctance to reform. According to the United Nations, direct human rights violations by the Colombian military increased last year, and even the US State Department admits that Colombia has failed to break ties with the paramilitaries. Rather than reduce aid pending an improved human rights record, the United States has turned a blind eye to abuses and continued to provide aid.

The result has been grave for many Colombian civilians, particularly Afro-Colombian communities, trade union leaders, and human rights defenders. Those who speak out against abuses by the military or discuss collaboration between the Colombian armed forces and paramilitaries are routinely labeled as being sympathetic to the guerrillas, and targeted with threats and attacks. According to international observers such as Witness for Peace, paramilitary presence in areas with a high level of Colombian military activity — notable among them the departments of Putumayo and Arauca, two epicenters of US involvement — has increased dramatically since 2000.

The last few years have shown that military aid feeds a vicious cycle of human rights abuses and killing, while the drug trade simply takes on new, more virulent forms and issues such as poverty, unequal land distribution, and a political system that excludes poor and rural communities must be addressed as Colombia looks toward a better future.

Source: Interhemispheric Resource Center (IRC)

Thousands protest paramilitary presence in Venezuela

Compiled by Greg White

Asheville, North Carolina, May 18(AGR) — Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez addressed an expansive crowd during a mass rally in Caracas on May 16. Thousands of Chavez supporters draped in national colors marched through the streets of Caracas to protest the alleged coup plot uncovered last week.

The rally came a week after authorities arrested 88 people described as Colombian paramilitaries holed up on property belonging to a key opposition figure.

Vice President Jose Vicente Rangel said the number of paramilitaries and people arrested linked to the plot uncovered last week had now risen to 120, out of 130 believed to be implicated. Eight active-duty Venezuelan military officers allegedly linked to the plot have been arrested.

“This march is in response to the conspiracy mounted by the Colombian oligarchy and the North American empire, but we will defeat them,” Rangel said.

President Chavez announced at the rally that his government would establish “people’s militias” to counter what he called foreign interference after the alleged coup plot Caracas claims was financed by Washington. He also said he would boost the strength of Venezuela’s armed forces as part of a new “anti-imperialist” phase for his government.

Chavez denied he was starting an arms race, but said he wanted to avoid fresh conspiracies. He said the nation’s 100,000 reservists were not enough to counter a plot, and announced he had recalled retired military officers to duty.

Several opposition leaders, former defense ministers, and media personalities have stated that the case of the paramilitaries is “a show mounted by Chavez” to draw attention away from the opposition’s attempt to hold a recall referendum for the president before August.

According to government reports, there are hundreds of Colombian paramilitaries in Venezuela. Defense Minister Gen. Jorge Garcia Carneiro said that there are probably “around 500 paramilitaries” in Venezuela. But he did not clarify whether they were all taking part in the subversive activities revealed by the government since last week.

Gen. Melvin Lopez, the secretary of the national Defense Council, said Colombia’s right-wing paramilitary umbrella, the United Self-Defense Forces of Colombia (AUC), has “cells” in seven of Venezuela’s 23 states: along the border with civil war-torn Colombia, in the central part of the country, and in the east.

“They have been making their way [into the country] gradually, saying they’re going to work on an estate belonging to some Venezuelan, and they have been equipping themselves with weapons, with the complicity of some state governments, taking advantage of the heavy flows of vacationers during Easter Week” in early April to escape notice, said Lopez.

The official blamed AUC for last December’s killings of seven members of the Venezuelan National Guard in several incidents in the southwestern border state of Tachira.

The Ezequiel Zamora Campesina (Peasant Farmer) Federation says Colombian hired killers were responsible for the deaths of rural activists and human rights defenders in the border region. Around 60 human rights and rural activists have been murdered in western Venezuela by forces loyal to the ranchers in the region in the past four years, according to Vice President Rangel.

During a press conference with Venezuela’s foreign press corps on May 14, President Chavez presented the pictures and names of the leaders of the paramilitary group that was captured last week in a farm on the outskirts of the country’s capital.

The main leader of the group is Jose Ernesto Ayala Amado, known as “Comandante Lucas,” and is also one of the leaders of the AUC, in the Colombian state of Norte de Santander.

Of the Colombians arrested, 28 had previously completed military service in Colombia.

According to Venezuelan intelligence, on the day that the men were arrested, they were part of an advance force of paramilitaries that was getting ready to receive weapons to launch an attack on a National Guard base and the government palace, with the aim of killing President Chavez and unleashing a clash between military forces.The Colombians were wearing Venezuelan army uniforms, but were unarmed, with the exception of one of the leaders, who carried a pistol.

Chavez lashed out at the head of the US army Southern Command, Gen. James Hill, who he called “an imperialist general,” and accused Colombian army chief Gen. Martin Carreno of being “an adversary of this government” and of “brazenly lying.” He also said a right-wing “Miami-Bogota-Caracas” network was behind the paramilitary incursion.

Chavez has demanded that the Bush administration withdraw its officers from Venezuelan bases where they serve as military liaisons. The president of the National Electoral Council has also threatened to expel foreign election monitors for supposedly being partial to the opposition groups seeking Chavez’s ouster.

Commenting on the recent arrests in a nationally broadcast speech last week, President Chavez said the captured Colombians “are just the tip of the iceberg of an invasion of Venezuela.”

Sources: Agence France Presse, Inter Press Service, New York Times, Venezuelanalysis

‘We are everywhere’ says shadowy pro-democracy group

By Wilson Johwa

Bulawayo, Zimbabwe, May 10 (IPS)— “When they were interrogating me, they kept asking about ‘Zvakwana!’,” says activist Gorden Moyo, describing his recent detention by security officials in Zimbabwe. “I told them I don’t know what it’s about.”

Moyo is one of several campaigners and opposition party members who have been questioned about this underground pro-democracy movement, whose Shona name means “enough.” Also referred to in Ndebele as “Sokwanele!,” the organization has Zimbabwean authorities scratching their heads in exasperation.

Its central message is that the 24-year rule of President Robert Mugabe should come to an end – this after four years of increasingly repressive governance in the Southern African country. Zimbabwe has been in political and economic turmoil since 2000 when veterans of the independence war and other militants began occupying white-owned farms in a state-sanctioned campaign.

Parliamentary elections held in 2000 and the presidential poll of 2002 were both marred by political violence, much of it directed against the opposition Movement for Democratic Change. Zimbabwe now finds itself in the grip of food shortages, triple-digit inflation and soaring unemployment.

At present, demonstrations and other forms of public protest are restricted by legislation – ideal conditions, some would say, for the emergence of an underground democracy movement.

During the past year, news of Zvakwana! has spread via word of mouth after internet surfers spotted its web site (www.zvakwana.com). This quotes Polish writer Ryszard Kapuscinski: “The indispensable catalyst is the word, the explanatory idea. Uncontrolled words — circulating freely, underground, rebelliously, uncertified — frighten tyrants.”

Amongst other things, the site also provides “Activist tips” that include pointers on how to deal with riot police, “Organize yourself in pairs. Keep an eye out for your partner at all times. Make sure that you know their personal details and who to contact in the event that they are hurt or arrested,” and tear gas “Stay calm and focused...When your body heats up [from running or panicking, for example], irritation may increase.”

Zvakwana! describes itself as a “non-partisan, non-profit group of...volunteers and visionaries – [who are] working to keep Zimbabweans informed about...civic campaigns and public meetings and events.” It also claims to have “an activist wing that engages in non-violent civic actions.”

The group appears unconcerned that Zimbabwean officials could burrow beneath the anonymity of the internet to find out who its organizers are.

“The regime is fighting so many fires...that they do not have the resources to find all their detractors,” said the body in response to questions posted on its web site by IPS.

One of the “non-violent civic actions” that Zvakwana! is claiming credit for was carried out before the Independence Day celebrations on Apr. 18. Some activists spray painted lamp posts and the sewage pipe along Tongogara Road in the capital – Harare – which Mugabe normally uses to travel to the National Sports Stadium, where the celebration was held.

The activists also painted a Zvakwana! slogan, “Get UP Stand UP,” on turnstiles and walls at the stadium. “There was so much graffiti,” says the group, that “the regime couldn’t repaint it before Mugabe’s trip, so he had to take a different route!”

Another gimmick focuses on inserting messages of defiance into matchboxes, which are then distributed.

Zvakwana! has even come up with a 15-track compact disc (CD) (the ‘Get UP Stand UP’ compilation) to promote its cause. The CD, featuring ‘Get Up Stand Up’ by Bob Marley, can be ordered free of charge. South African singer Hugh Masekela’s “Change,” which implores long-standing African leaders, particularly Mugabe, to “say goodbye” is also included on the album. It comes with Zvakwana!’s “revolutionary condoms” bearing the campaign logo, a black “Z” inside a yellow background.

In its e-mail interview with IPS, the group also claims to have distributed hundreds of copies of a British Broadcasting Corporation documentary on the camps where Zimbabwean youth are allegedly being trained to form a paramilitary force that can be deployed against government opponents. Authorities claim the camps are simply training grounds where a sense of national pride is instilled in young men and women.

As CDs and videos don’t come cheaply, these claims beg the question of who is financing Zvakwana!. When asked about this, the group said it was “a locally sponsored campaign in all respects. Pro-democracy groups and supporters are putting their money towards creating positive change in Zimbabwe.”

So far, Zvakwana! appears to be enjoying some success in providing “nuisance value.” Police have stepped up efforts to locate those masterminding the campaign, with spokesman Wayne Bvudzijena recently telling a weekly paper that “These people...have been...spreading material and literature aimed at inciting members of the public to lawlessness.” He added that officials would be “interested in talking to them.”

Officers have questioned local artist Leonard Zhakata, who has a song featured on the CD. Three weeks ago another man, who wanted to be identified only as “Mehluli,” was picked up by police who were looking for those who had painted yellow hand prints, an emblem used by the opposition, across Bulawayo. The authorities suspected a link between the hand prints and Zvakwana! graffiti – although the group denies any association between the two.

A friend of Mehluli’s also had his home searched for the incriminating yellow paint. “I think these guys don’t know what they looking for,” he told IPS, requesting anonymity. “They are just fishing in the dark.”

Zvakwana! says it will continue using alternative, non-violent means in its campaign: “The regime can look for us, but we are everywhere.”

With government last week ordering the closure of yet another newspaper, The Tribune, the space in which Zimbabweans can express themselves has been restricted still further. The fact that Zvakwana! has no office building, no spokesperson or known campaign leader gives it an elusiveness which, given current conditions, is a highly valuable commodity.

Manmohan Singh to be India’s first Sikh premier

May 19 — The father of India’s economic reforms, Manmohan Singh, has been designated prime minister after Sonia Gandhi rejected appeals to take the job.

Singh, a 71-year-old Sikh who will be India’s first non-Hindu prime minister, immediately pledged to turn the world’s largest democracy into an economic model that “makes new opportunities available to the poor.”

President Abd al-Kalam, the ceremonial head of state, invited Singh on May 19 to replace the government of Hindu nationalist premier Atal Behari Vajpayee after a tumultuous day following Gandhi’s decision not to be prime minister.

Gandhi, the Congress party president who engineered the upset victory by targeting Indians left out of the country’s surging economic growth, said “the government will be safe in the hands of Mr Singh.”

Italian-born Gandhi had faced a virulent campaign by Hindu hardliners against her foreign roots and family pressure not to become prime minister.

Her husband Rajiv Gandhi and mother-in-law Indira, who had both served as premier, were assassinated.

Oxford-trained economist

Singh, an Oxford-trained economist and former official of the International Monetary Fund, ended decades of protectionism as finance minister in the last Congress government from 1991 to 1996.

“We have always said that economic reforms with emphasis on human elements will continue,” Singh said.

“We will give to the world and to our people a model of economic reforms which adds to the process of development to bring new opportunities for the poor and downtrodden,” Singh said, standing alongside Gandhi at the British-built presidential palace in central New Delhi.

The Bombay Stock Exchange, which had crashed after Gandhi and Singh’s communist-backed coalition defeated the market-friendly government, rallied up 2.65 percent on expectations the economy would be in safe hands under Singh.

“The father of India’s reform program rising to the prime ministership would be very positive from the standpoint of the market,” said PK Basu, head of Robust Economic Analysis.

Political support

“But I would caution against excessive euphoria since Doctor Singh as an economic reformer is well regarded, but his abilities as a political manager are untested.”

With backing from leftists and regional parties, Singh will enjoy a solid majority of 325 seats among the 539 members of parliament elected so far, according to a Press Trust of India tally.

The Communist Party of India, which has pledged support to a Congress-led government coalition, said the overriding concern was to stop Hindu nationalists from returning to power and it would support Singh.

“He is one of the most decent persons, a knowledgeable economist and I will opt for him any time over any person in the Bharatiya Janata Party,” said communist Somnath Chatterjee.

Source: Al Jazeera

India’s stock market suffers biggest crash in years

India’s stock market crashed on May 17 in one of the biggest falls in years, prompting regulators to suspend trading as investors remained wary about the economic policies of the incoming communist-supported government in New Delhi.

The benchmark index of the Bombay Stock Exchange, the Sensex, opened sharply lower and tumbled further to 4516.6 points, in an 11 percent drop in the first 20 minutes of trading, forcing the stock market regulator to halt trading at stock exchanges across the country.

The market dived on fears that the Congress party, set to form a new government after ousting the ruling National Democratic Alliance in national elections last week, may slow down privatization of state-run companies and undo market-friendly policies to appease leftists, whose support is crucial for a parliamentary majority. (AP)

US ‘strategically losing’ in Iraq

Compiled by Shane Perlowin

May 19 (AGR) — Deep divisions are emerging at the top of the US military over the occupation of Iraq, with some senior officers saying the United States is facing the prospect of casualties for years without achieving its stated goal of establishing a free, democratic Iraq.

Their major worry is that the United States is not winning the support of Iraqis.

Major General Charles H. Swannack Jr., the commander of the 82d Airborne Division who spent much of the year in western Iraq, said he thinks that at the tactical level at which fighting occurs, the US military is winning. But when asked whether he thinks the United States is losing, he said, “I think strategically, we are.”

Army Colonel Paul Hughes, who last year was the first director of strategic planning for the US occupation authority in Baghdad, said he agrees with that view and noted that a pattern of winning battles while losing a war characterized the American failure in Vietnam.

The United Iraqi Scholars Group — which appointed a 16-strong leadership panel — has vowed to boycott any political group set up by the United States and called for a stronger army than the small force envisioned by the US-led occupation authority.

After a five-hour conference, attended by 500 Iraqis from across the political spectrum, the group said its agenda was based on “legitimate resistance to end the occupation” and keeping Iraq united.

It deemed all laws passed or to be enacted under the yoke of occupation “illegal” and demanded an end of occupation as soon as possible.

The new body, grouping Shiites, Sunnis and Kurds, pressed for sidelining the US-appointed Governing Council and called for a meeting with UN envoy Lakhdar Brahimi.

Sheikh Jawad al-Khalisi, a senior Shiite scholar who will head the group, said it wanted the handover of power to Iraqis on June 30 “done under the umbrella of the UN and not the Coalition Provisional Authority.”

Meanwhile, fighting continues in Shia cities across Iraq in what US occupation forces now admit is a “minor uprising” by forces loyal to the radical Shia cleric Muqtada al-Sadr.

There were renewed clashes close to two major shrines in the Shia holy city of Karbala, as anger grew across the Shia world over damage to the Shrine of Imam Ali in nearby Najaf during fighting on May 14.

US forces are risking a fearsome backlash from Iraq’s Shia with their offensive. The shrine was damaged during Saddam Hussein’s brutal suppression of the Shia revolt in 1991. Even as they are being compared to Saddam by ordinary Iraqis for the abuses in Abu Ghraib prison, US forces risked being compared to the former dictator on another front.

As US forces fought the Shia forces of al- Sadr in the south, they broke into the Sunni Abu Hanifa mosque in Baghdad May 15.

Amid moves by Shia and Sunni leaders to come together against the occupation, US forces have chosen to attack both at the same time.

US soldiers sealed off the Abu Hanifa mosque in the Al-Adhamiya district of Baghdad May 15 just as heavy fighting between US forces and the Mehdi militia of al-Sadr raged throughout southern Iraq.

They damaged several doors and threw copies of the Koran on the floor while conducting a search.

Kassem, a 54-year-old grandfather who works as a guard at the mosque said a US soldier hit him on the forehead with the butt of an M-16 rifle. “When I fell to the ground they kicked me,” he said. “They came to humiliate the people of Islam. Why else? We have no guns here, no mujahedeen. They want to destroy the Islamic religion.”

US forces withdrew within an hour after failing to find any weapons, or the person they had told guards they were searching for.

In Nasiriyah, Italian officials had to be evacuated from their base as it came under attack from Sadr’s Mehdi Army militia. Six Italian troops were injured. Two Iraqi fighters were killed and 20 wounded.

Suspected Mehdi Army militiamen fired a mortar shell at British forces in Basra overnight, but missed. They hit a civilian home and killed four Iraqis, including two-year-old twin girls.

Three Iraqi women working for the occupation authority were killed in separate incidents yesterday. Two died when a minibus carrying them came under fire in Baghdad. A third, who worked as a translator, was killed when gunmen burst into her home in the restive Sunni city of Mahmudiya, south of Baghdad.

Gunmen attacked a US-run civilian convoy in Iraq’s western desert and some personnel are unaccounted for, US officials said May 18.

Iraq’s oil minister said a weekend pipeline bombing had temporarily cut petroleum exports by 30 percent.

A mortar attack on a US military base north of Baghdad killed four Philippine workers. The victims were employed at Camp Anaconda near Balad.

In Samarra, another town north of Baghdad, about 20 gunmen raided a police station the night of May 18, and the seven police inside fled. The attackers then detonated a bomb that destroyed the building and two police cars.

In other news, UK troops have killed Iraqi civilians including an eight-year-old girl when they were under no apparent threat, Amnesty International has claimed.

The human rights group claims in “many” cases the deaths of civilians caused by UK troops had not been investigated.

Amnesty wants an independent civilian-led investigation into all alleged killings in Iraq.

The head of the Iraqi Governing Council was killed May 17in a suicide car bombing as he waited in his vehicle at a US-controlled checkpoint.

Abdel-Zahraa Othman, a Shia Muslim, who was most widely known as Izzadine Saleem, was one of eight Iraqis killed in the blast.

Saleem was the highest-ranking Iraqi official to be killed during the US-led occupation.

A previously unknown Iraqi group said it had carried out the attack.

Sources: Independent (UK), Associated Press, Washington Post, Aljazeera, BBC, IslamOnline.net, Agence France Presse, Reuters, Guardian (UK)

Palestinian homes demolished; Israelis rally for peace

Compiled by Bob Strott

May 19 (AGR) -- The Israeli cabinet has vowed to step up military operations in Gaza, 18 hours after the largest Israeli anti-war demonstration in four years backing withdrawal from the occupied strip of land and a return to the negotiating table.

The big weekend rally marked the re-emergence of the left-wing Israeli peace movement, marginalized for most of the last four years, as it joined forces with moderate centrists in the biggest display of anti-war sentiment since the beginning of the intifada more than three and half years ago.

But Israel has said it will intensify its military assault on the Gaza strip, only hours after more than 100,000 people rallied in Tel Aviv to demand that Prime Minister Ariel Sharon follow through on his pledge to withdraw Jewish settlers from the territory.

The defense minister, Shaul Mofaz, told the weekly cabinet meeting that the army would work to “create a new reality” along the border between Gaza and Egypt, where the UN has said the army destroyed about 200 Palestinian homes in the Rafah refugee camp after seven soldiers were killed in the area last week.

A total of 13 soldiers have died in the Gaza strip since May 18 -- some of the worst casualty figures inflicted on the Israeli army during the present intifada.

While Mofaz said the fighting was part of the “war on terror” and vowed not to retreat, the army has clearly been shaken by the scale and effectiveness of Palestinian resistance just as it believed it had broken the back of Hamas and Islamic Jihad’s command structure.

The army went out of its way to insist that the operation was limited to the task of finding the remains of the soldiers killed on May 12, and had nothing to do with “speculation” about a government program of house destruction in Rafah to widen the security zone around the border patrol road where several soldiers were killed when their troop carrier was blown up.

Since the outbreak of fighting in September 2000, the Israeli military has razed 1,026 houses in Rafah and damaged 767, local officials say.

The destruction of houses since the beginning of the intifada, three and a half years ago, has led to more than 17,000 Palestinians losing their homes, UN relief workers said.

The army chief of staff, Lieutenant-General Moshe Ya’alon, said the destruction would continue despite an international outcry, including stiff criticism from the White House of demolitions that left more than 1,000 Palestinians homeless on May 14.

“Hundreds of Palestinian houses along the Israel-Egypt border have been targeted for demolition,” Gen. Ya’alon said, according to Israel Radio.

In addition to leveling rows of buildings on the edge of the zone, Israeli officials are considering a proposal to carve a deep moat through the area and flood it to block arms smugglers, a political source told Reuters.

The cabinet’s hard line was reiterated the morning after the rally in favor of pulling Jewish settlers and the army out of the Gaza strip.

The protest was called to demand that Sharon keep to his pledge to withdraw from Gaza despite losing a referendum on the issue in his Likud party last month.

The rally’s organizers, led by the opposition Labor party, said recent polls showed a hardening of public support for the withdrawal since the deaths of the 13 soldiers.

Rallying under the slogan, “The majority has decided. Leave Gaza, start talking,” the organizers said twice as many people attended the rally as had voted in the Likud referendum to reject the pullout or had joined a right-wing demonstration in support of the settlers.

Evocative of the popular agitation which encouraged the withdrawal from southern Lebanon four years ago under Ehud Barak, the spirit of the meeting on May 15 perhaps owed more to the memory of Yitzhak Rabin, assassinated by a Jewish fanatic in 1995 in this very square after he rallied support for the Oslo accords. Shimon Peres, the former prime minister and present Labor leader, told the rally: “The demonstration we’re holding tonight is not a demonstration of the left. It is a demonstration of the majority.” 80% of Israelis back a Gaza pullout, while only 1% have voted to reject it.

Referring to the outcome of last month’s referendum in which 100,000 Likud members voted by six to four against Prime Minister Ariel Sharon’s plan to disengage from Gaza, Peres said the country could not be held hostage by a mere one percent of the population. “We come here to say tonight: this minority, this one and only per cent, will not send us back to the wars, to the bloody path.”

Sources: The Guardian, Independent Digital (UK) Ltd., Al Jazeera

Sanctions unlikely to hurt Syria

By George Baghdadi

Damascus, Syria, May 17 (IPS)— The limited sanctions imposed on Syria are unlikely to do it much harm, or the US much good.

As Damascus condemned President George W. Bush’s implementation of the Syrian Accountability and Lebanese Sovereignty Restoration Act (SALSA, as it has come to be called), analysts agree the sanctions are largely symbolic.

After months of saber-rattling, Bush chose only the minimum sanctions under SALSA. They include a near ban on US exports to Syria other than food and medicine, and a requirement that US banks sever ties with the state-owned Commercial Bank of Syria.

The hesitation reflects the US dilemma in dealing with Damascus. On the one hand, Washington wants to punish Syria for its alleged support of Palestinian radical groups like Hamas and its alleged failure to stop infiltration of anti-US elements into Iraq. On the other hand, Syria has cooperated significantly with the United States against al-Qaida.

Analysts say the long-threatened sanctions will not affect the economy directly because sanctions of sorts have been in place for years because Syria is on the US ‘black list’ of states sponsoring terrorism. Trade between the US and Syria is a modest $300 million a year, but several US companies are developing Syria’s oil and gas sectors.

Bush did not ban US investments in Syria. Between 300 and 400 US companies have representative offices in Syria, according to the US embassy in Damascus. These include IT firms such as IBM, Hewlett-Packard, Dell and Compaq.

Syria now markets all of its crude oil, including that produced by foreign companies, through state marketing company Sytrol. This company has a 25 percent stake in a Petro-Canada led proposal to develop natural gas in Syria that also involves several US companies.

“It will be more psychological,” Syrian economic expert Nabil Sukkar told IPS. But he acknowledged that “the sanctions could scare off some companies and have a negative impact on the inflow of investments at a time when Syria has launched an economic modernization program.”

There is little trade that could be affected. Only one percent of Syrian exports go to the United States compared to almost 60 percent to the European Union (EU). Only five percent of imports are from the United States, says Sukkar.

Europeans could be looking at new business opportunities because of the sanctions. Spain has invited President Bashar Assad early June, and a high-level EU trade delegation will travel to Syria this weekend to improve cooperation in exporting oil and gas to Europe.

“First, the sanctions are unjust and unjustified,” said information minister Ahmad Al-Hassan. “Second, they will have little effect on our country, because we do not have strong trade relations with the United States. Still, we will try to make agreements with European, Japanese and Asian companies and reinforce our relationships with them.”

The 22-member Arab League has said the embargo would only harden Arab opinion against the United States. The organization said in a statement that the sanctions would “add to the sour feelings in the region and will raise more questions among Arab people” about US plans for the region.

“At least the situation is clearer now and we know what to expect,” said a Damascus businessman dealing extensively with US companies. “At present, the sanctions impact Syria much more politically than economically, placing it in the enemy camp.”

The sanctions under SALSA also provide for a ban on non-existent Syrian flights to the United States except those chartered by the Syrian government for official business. Diplomatic ties remain intact.

A defiant President Bashar Assad has said he would not bow to US demands to expel Palestinian militant groups. He refuted charges by the Bush administration that his country has weapons of mass destruction and is allowing foreign fighters to move across the border into Iraq.

In a 90-minute meeting with US editors following the sanctions order, Assad recognized his country would eventually need US help in winning back territory Syria lost to Israel in the 1967 Mideast war.

“Of course, we cannot abandon our occupied lands and the United States has an important role,” Assad said. But he pointed out that this was not a priority for the United States.

“The sanctions would hurt American interests more than the Syrian interests,” Mohammed Aziz Shukri, professor of international law at Damascus University told IPS. “Frankly speaking, we couldn’t care less about these sanctions. We are expecting the worst from this administration — we expect more than the sanctions.”